Whether you are conservative or liberal, establishment or populist, pundits agree that this is an election year. There is no evidence of a single pundit who asserts that the election is next year, but PolitiFact has yet to issue a true/false rating on the matter.
That said, many political journalists, including FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver, have compared this election to other things. It’s not surprising then that party insiders across the ideological spectrum, from Glenn Beck to former president Jimmy Carter, agree with Nate Silver that this election can be compared to other things that are not this election. These are almost all metaphors or similes. I made a simile once in 2004. I said to my fiancée, “This gumbo is heaven.”
It may have been a metaphor.
But either way, political theorists this year have conducted significant numbers of analyses on the effect of social media. The consensus is that people like social media, and they use it a bunch. I like it just OK. One example of this is Pinterest.
My fiancée created a Pinterest account and used it for two weeks.
To date this year, both Quinnipiac University and Rasmussen Reports, each considered among the gold standard of polls, have only questioned likely voters from this election cycle. No surveys taken this year (from any pollster!) have polled likely voters from previous elections. On the other hand, nearly 100% of 2012 polls polled people in 2012, but not a single poll taken this election cycle has yet to do so.
Some people refer to people from Poland as “Poles.”
That said, Politico staff writer Ben Schreckinger wrote, “As secretary of state, she appointed an ‘innovation adviser’ and created an ‘innovation award for the empowerment of women and girls,’” and I’m pretty sure he was talking about Hillary Clinton.
I went to college with Ben Schreckinger, and he seemed like a bright guy then, so I trust him now.
But no matter who you trust, cable news anchors this year have devoted uncountable minutes of coverage to racism allegations against Mr. Trump. While on the other hand, there is almost no coverage of racism allegations against me. This makes me feel good, because my fiancée doesn’t like racism. She says it’s bad.
I’m pretty sure she is Korean-American.
Now, it’s not uncommon for pundits to reference another election cycle, such as 2004, when George W. Bush won a majority of delegates in an uncontested GOP primary. However, this election cycle is the first since 2004 in which I have a fiancée, Korean-American or not (Nate Silver’s Polls-Plus model has yet to account for her race).
Notably, Republican financier Karl Rove has remained silent on the topic. And despite “GOP Primary” trending on Twitter for 23+ weeks this cycle, no pundit has accounted for how my fiancé-or-not status could affect the GOP outcome in 2004 or in this year 2016.
But in 2012, Obama won the presidency.
On the Democratic side, YouGov’s primary polling results remain inconclusive, but market analysts agree that Mr. Trump’s ex-campaign manager Paul Manafort has demonstrated a clear and consistent bias towards Mr. Trump.
I’d guess that is because Paul is a former employee of Mr. Trump, but also because Paul believes in Mr. Trump. I think that’s nice, to believe in someone else. I often wish Paul Manafort would believe in me. Maybe he’ll read this and let me know he believes in me. I hope he does.
He sure looks like my dad.
Sometimes at night when there isn’t a lot of air pollution, I drive out into the Finger Lakes National Forest and look up at the stars, and tell myself that somewhere somehow, Paul Manafort is looking up at the same stars. But SurveyMonkey polling results are also inconclusive on the matter.
Rick Santorum has not responded to numerous inquires on the matter. And I understand why. It has nothing to do with him.
So despite the near endless comparisons, analyses, and data collected on this election, all evidence points to the fact that the election remains this year in 2016.
And I’m pretty sure Trump is racist.